IRANIAN VOTERS BOOTED THE CONSERVATIVES, SLAPPED THE LEADER

By Safa Haeri and reports from Iran

TEHRAN 18TH Feb. (IPS) Nearly forty millions Iranian voters, made mostly of young and women, but also elderly, some on wheelchairs, rushed Friday to the 36.000 voting stations across the vast country to elected 290 deputies out of more than 5000 candidates to fill the next Majles (parliament) and according to unofficial estimates, the reformists who supports President Mohammad Khatami took the lead over the ruling conservatives.

As predicted by this news service, former president ayatollah Ali Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, 67, who was saddled by both the conservatives and the Reconstruction Servants Party (RSP) as a front runner, was dealt a severe, if not humiliating blow, a fate the voters reserved for hojatoleslam Ali Akbar Nateq-Nouri, the outgoing Speaker of the Majles in the May 1997 presidential elections.

Reports from Tehran indicated that Dr. Mohammad Reza Khatami, 46, the younger brother of the 57 years-old President who leads the newly formed Islamic Iran Participation Front (IIPF) has scored the largest number, followed by another medic, Dr. Alireza Nouri, 39, brother the jailed but popular hojatoleslam Abdollah Nouri in the one hand and Mr. Hashemi Rafsanjani narrowly escaping a second ballot on the other.

"If the estimates are translated into reality, this means that not only Mr. Rafsanjani has suffered a devastating blow, but voters have again slapped ayatollah Ali Kihameneh'i, the leader of the Islamic regime, repeating what they did in the last presidential elections by massively rejecting Mr. Nateq-Nouri, the candidate he and the conservatives had backed", one political analyst observed.

Considering his low performance, some analysts doubted Mr. Rafsanjani would be elected as the Speaker, a post he aspired for when he decided to enter the crucial race. "If the pro-Khatami candidates score a decisive victory, the seat of Speaker could go to hojatoleslam Mehdi Karrubi, a former Speaker enlisted by the IIPF" pointed out Mr. Mohammad Heydari, the Editor of the outspoken reformist monthly "Gozaresh" (Report). "However in case Mr. Rafsanjani is elected, he could coerce independent MPs in voting in his favour", he added.

Speaking to reporters, both younger Khatami and Dr. Nouri said their candidates had scored more than 60 per cent of the votes, giving them overwhelming victory over the conservatives.

Voters turned out massively, with more than 75 per cent of the Iranians of 16 and over, lining queuing for hours before the opening time in front of polling stations. In some places in Tehran and Shiraz, the capital city of the southern province of Fars, the birthplace of Iran's and world's famous poets and philosophers like Sa'di and Hafez, some had to wait for more than three hours before casting their ballots.

"Turn out was the heaviest of any other parliamentary elections, comparable only in the number and in people's enthusiasm with that of the last presidential race. People have realised that each vote counts for their participation in shaping their destiny", one voter told Iran Press Service.

Regardless of some minor incidents created here and there by conservatives-controlled pressure groups such as Ansar Hezbollah thugs, the atmosphere was jovial, voting was smooth.

The conservatives did better in the capital's downtown, but even there the reformists did well, better than in the past elections, eyewitnesses told IPS.

"The Middle East and the third world's most vital of democracies is in the making in Iran", one voter said. "Iranians proved once again that they reject this system, by voting for the reformists, they proved that they don't want a tutor, that they reject theocratic authoritarianism", added Mr. Abolhasan Banisadr, Islamic Republic's first elected president who lives in exile in Versailles, near Paris.

According to first unofficial projection made available, an estimated 150 candidates, including 10 out of the 30 MP of Tehran would get elected in the first round. Women made 17 per cent of the total number of voters, the highest ever. Due to huge participation, the Interior Ministry extended the closing time by two hours and yet many voters where still waiting their turn to cast their ballots.

Like in other elections, all senior clerics, starting by Mr. Khameneh'i had ruled voting as both a religious and patriotic duty, urging the population to show up massively.

Casting his vote, President Khatami called on young voters who make his main power-base to "once again edify and create yet another national epic as grandiose as the one they did before".

Many candidates, mostly the lesser known but also those running on reformist lists bitterly criticised the leader's-controlled "Voice and Visage of the Islamic Republic" (VVIR, that is the Iranian Radio and Television) for its biased handling of the campaigning for both taking position for the candidates backed by the conservatives in the one hand and jamming of foreign radio stations with services in Persian language such as the BBC, Voice of America, Radio Israel and Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty that, contrary to the State-run organisation, would interview none conservative candidates, allowing them to air their views.

The same, and in order to limit the scope of their possible defeat, the conservatives ordered some of their candidates in small towns and in villages to put on a reformist mask, creating confusion, Iranian journalists covering the elections pointed out.

But even if the reformist comes out with a clear cut majority, one should not expect dramatic changes as this would not resolve the problematic problem of the velayate faqih, or the system of Tutorship that forms the main and major obstacle in the road to real democracy, freedom and reforms. At best, it should be considered as a rehearsal for the next presidential elections that is due in May 2001.

This being said, the Sixth Majles, contrary to the fifth one that was dominated by the conservatives and would almost systematically bloc president's attempts to implements some of his promised reforms, should be more co-operative with Mr. Khatami, allowing him to reshuffle his government in order to become more independent from the growing controversial and embattled, yet omnipresent and cumbersome ayatollah Khameneh'i. ENDS ELECTIONS 18200