REFORMS ARE DEAD, LONG LIVE CHANGES, SAYS OUTSPOKEN SCHOLAR

By Safa Haeri, Editor of IPS

PARIS First of May (IPS) "Reforms could have saved the regime, but none of the protagonists, the conservatives as well as the so-called reformers, realised and understood its importance. As a result, the reforms are now dead and Hojjatoleslam Mohammad Khatami, the man who spearheaded them for some times, has lost his political career", a senior Iranian politician says.

Speaking to the Iran Press Service from his law office in Tehran, Mr. Qasem Sho’leh Sa’di, an outspoken critic of the Iranian regime explained that while the hard liners "could not and cannot tolerate any change" the reformers, because of lack of guts, strategy and leadership, failed to implement the reforms when they had the possibilities to do it".

"The regime could have survived provided the rulers would accept changes", Mr. Sh’leh Sa’di, a professor of international law at Tehran University said, adding that "internally, people’s capacity for tolerating this regime is full and externally, there is no place for any kind of Talebans".

In the view of Mr. Sho’leh Sa’di, the torch of the reforms is now carried by what he describes as the "Third Current" to which he and many other former reformers belongs.

Bellow is an almost verbatim translation of the interview, in which the former outspoken MM (member of the Majles, or the Iranian parliament), who was a staunch supporter of President Mohammad Khatami and a pioneer of reform process in Iran, also warned that the regime could face "major difficulties" if it refused to reform its institutions.

Q – You say the regime could face major difficulties if it refused to tolerate changes. Would you please elaborate?

Qasem Sho’leh Sa’di – Second Khordad (victory of Mohammad Khatami in May 1997 presidential elections) was an instantaneous movement that produced Khatami, and not the other way. Khatami was a friend of radicals such as (the former Interior Minister Ali Akbar) Mohtashamipoor, (Majles Speaker Hojjatoleslam Mehdi) Karroobi, Hojjatoleslam Mohammad Kho’einiha (owner and editor of the banned Salam daily) etc.

All genuine forces of the nation, including the pasdaran (Revolutionary Guards) and the (regular) armed forces voted for Khatami, a signal meaning the rejection of the hard liners. As usual, and because Iranians in general do not have a culture of political struggle, the movement however was without direction, a central command.

Nevertheless, Khatami’s electoral campaign was conducted by people like Kho’einiha, Karroobi, Mohtashamipoor, Hadi Khameneh'i (the younger brother of the present leader).

You asked about the difficulties and what is expected? Not difficult to answer, as the regime has exhausted all its possibilities. If Khatami had acted firmly and without fear, the regime would have already changed. The conservatives would have backed off if Khatami had resisted to them, taking advantage of the popular support he enjoyed. In case they would intend a coup, both the army and the pasdaran would come to Khatami’s defence.

But now it is too late. Khatami is a philosopher, not a politician. He ignores the skill of political give and take. He is also both rigid and timid. He does not take risk, preferring to retreat instead. That’s why in the past five years, he has constantly retreated from one trenches to another.

Q – So, who has the chance to emerge? Or, is there any one capable of taking the leadership over the present officials? The country is filled with all kind of strikes and demonstrations. People are visibly angry. Are these strikes and this anger inter-related, connected, in one or any other form?

A – It’s a long time since Iranians are calling for changes. Remember the after football demonstrations? Majles’ challenging the leader? All these manifestations mean one thing: We are against this system.

All demonstrations in Iran are political in nature. At the present, they are isolated from each other, but are converging, like blinds, finding each other. In other words, in a country where 90 per cent of the educated people are fully aware of the situation, the evolution and developments that are happening are very serious.

The great majority of Iranians are for secularism and if they are offered a choice, they would vote for a democratic republican system.

Q – What about the pasdaran? Could it not crush anti-regime movement?

A – The very body of the pasdaran is reformist, only a few top officers are with the conservatives.

Q – Why Mr. Khameneh'i is that much against any improvement of relations with America? Is he really anti-American?

A – He want to continue Imam’s (Grand Ayatollah Roohollah Khomeini) policies. But while the Imam had subjected the Iran-US ties to some ifs and conditions, Mr. Khameneh'i has reached the conclusion that any normalisation with the United States would inevitably lead to changes in Iran, not only endangering the velayat faqih, but also its possible replacement by a secular system. Therefore, he has decided to kill any reform.

And, above all, don’t forget that Mr. Khameneh'i is not Imam Khomeini, a man who was both a religious marja’ and an undisputed political leader.

People are asking why we shall give money to (the leader of the Leabanese Hezbollah, Hasan) Nasrallah? Why our foreign policy must be prisoner of the Hezbollah and Palestine? If we have a referendum today, the great majority of the people would vote normalisation of relations with America.

But for the time being, the bulk of the conservative leadership follows the policies dictated and imposed by Mr. Khameneh'i, who has ruled out any dialogue with Washington, realising, not without logic, that starting any talks with America would accelerate the pace of changes..

Q – Is there any possibility to see velayat faqih gone

A – Yes, if the debate on reforming or amending the Constitution become more serious. Mind you that some students and politicians have called for a referendum on the issue of the absolute velayat faqih, stopping one man to decide for 70 millions, or having the power to veto decisions taken by the elected bodies of the system like the Majles..

Q – Talking about referendums. Right now, we are talking about three kinds of referendum: The one suggested by some reformers that calls for some changes in the Constitution without changing the system; another one proposed by some students, like Mr. Heshmatollah Tabarzadi or Mr. Manoochehr Mohammadi, aiming at curtailing both the powers of the leader and the duration of his mandate, making him answerable to some elected bodies etc. and finally the one by Iranians outside, like Prince Reza Pahlavi, to choose between the present regime and a secular one.

A – All three have the same purpose and leads to the same result: change in the present system. That’s why the present rulers are so afraid of any change or even amendments to the Constitution. I was surprised to see that even Mr. Khatami opposed the idea of referendum, saying whoever makes such suggestions is a traitor. Now, if we accept Mr. Khatami as the leader of the reformists, one has to recite a requiem for reforms.

But people’s tolerance has also a limit. The more the ruling authorities create obstacles, the more the thirst for changes, for a law-abiding system, for a responsible government, for a regime in which the Majles can exercise its powers, where the Council of the Guardians is not allowed to reject candidates without providing the public with clear cut reasons, for democracy with Islam, which is different from a Western type of democracy and freedom.

But what we have instead is repression, to the point that even a president who was elected with 80 per cent of the popular vote cannot open his mouth to criticise. Look at his (Khatami’s) silence over all the killings, the closing of newspapers, the arrest of journalists, intellectuals, and dissidents, even lawmakers. The record sheet of the reforms and reformers is negative. The conservatives represses more than before, they reject all competent forces of the nation, place their own interests and ideologies above those of the nation. For this reason and many others, in my opinion, changes will happen, whether they like it or not.

Q – In one of your interviews, you said one must no more consider Mr. Khatami as the leader of reformists, and added that reforms are dead. How do you explain this situation?

A – It is mostly due to the contamination of the reformist’s leadership, a bunch of leftist-fascists who, when in power at the start of the revolution, committed all kinds of crimes, involved in corruption and now, handicapped by this not glorious past, hands in hands with the conservatives, opposes real reforms to take place.

In one word, because of mismanagement, incompetence, lack of commandment as well as strategy, the reforms are dead, mostly thanks to Mr. Khatami, who was unable to make proper use of the people’s will.

Q – After 11 September, Iran, by condemning the terrorist operations, was in a situation that not only could open the way for normalisation with the United States, but also make the losses it had suffered in Afghanistan and elsewhere in Central Asia. But then Mr. Khameneh'i entered the arena, with his speeches against American leaders, not only he destroyed all hopes, but also resulting in President Bush’s accusing Iran to be an evil state. Don’t you think that the Assembly of Experts must try he leader for acts against the interests of the State?

A – This assembly is not in a position to exercise the slightest control over what Mr. Khameneh'i does. You know well that here we are in a vicious circle, where candidates to the Assembly of Experts are vet by members of the Council of Guardians who are named by the leader. With very few exceptions, all members of this Assembly are on the leader’s payroll, being his representatives in various places or Friday preachers etc.

Besides, the conditions set for becoming leader are very varied, as he must be a religious authority, a manager, a courageous man, having full knowledge of affairs, etc.. More over, some of the conditions set by the Constitution for the leader are very general, making it difficult to control. For instance, the Constitution stipulates that the leader must have good and correct political wisdom. But we don’t have any clear definition of what good and correct political wisdom means exactly or what is the yardstick on which one can judge if Khameneh'i has, or not, this wisdom?

Another point is that most of the members of the Experts Assembly are less educated than Mr. Khameneh’i. Therefore, this Assembly has neither the will nor the possibility to demote the leader.

Q – How do you evaluate the future of Iran’s relations with Washington, in the light of recent events?

A- As to the relations with the United States, one must realise that from the outset, this issue had become a domestic play, a club to beat up the opponents, starting with the hostage taking, followed by the Algiers negotiations that brought the downfall of the (provisory prime minister Mehdi) Bazargan’s government. The reason is that in Iran, the authorities do not observe international standards in the conduct of policies, being it domestic or foreign, but their own yardsticks.

For instance, Mr. Ali Akbar Velayati, the former Foreign Minister who is now the adviser of the leader on international affairs, said recently that America was defeated in Afghanistan because it failed in capturing Ben Laden and mollah Omar. But he deliberately avoided admitting that it was the same power that disbanded Al-Qa’eda, toppled the Taleban and installed its own government instead.

We find the same kind of reasoning about the (Iran-Iraq) War. When Imam Khomeini agreed to the 598 Resolution, he also said that he accepted to take the poison. But afterward, we pretended that we had won the war. You see, our standard for defeat or victory is different from elsewhere and for this reason; the rulers present any defeat, any setback we suffer as a victory.

You named Pakistan. We are not loosing only to this country, but on all fronts. Because of our opposition to the United States, we have lost all our privileges in Central Asia as, for instance, the transfer of oil and gas is concerned. We are the most natural transit rout for the transfer of Central Asian energy to Europe and Asia, bringing us billions of Dollars as well as creating employment, getting better bargaining cards, stronger position in the region. But because of our irrational policies, not only we lost all that, but continue to suffer from boycotts and isolation, costing other billions and billions.

In my view, the situation of the Iranian system looks like that of a pregnant woman. It has to deliver anyway, naturally, or by way of caesarean, otherwise, there is the danger to see both mother and child dying. In other words, the reforms are implemented, Iran joins the world forum, accepts international norms and standards and respects human rights or it looses on all sides, with the people paying the price. In my view, the reforms would triumph.

Q- But you said this regime cannot tolerate reforms?

A - That’s right. As I said, reforms would triumph, weather the present rulers likes it or not. You see, the ideal is not to have a system like that of France or Switzerland, but a regime based on Islam and respecting freedoms and democratic values. But since the reforms are dead, changes are inevitable, one way or another.

Q – President George W. Bush has pronounced the Islamic Republic an evil State and there are rumours that Washington might attack Iran before Iraq. Don’t you think that there must be a fire somewhere causing the smoke?

A – I sincerely hope that America never intends attacking Iran. I sincerely hope that the authorities wakes up to realities and give the Iranian people what they struggle for: basic freedoms, law and order, security, opening to international world, prosperity. Because of stubbornness and insisting on wrong policies, we have lost on all fronts. We lost the war against Iraq. In the (Persian) Gulf War, we stood neutral, but also got nothing when the victors divided the bounties. Countries like Egypt or Syria, which played much less important roles than Iran received some prizes, but nothing for us. The same in Afghanistan, where Pakistan, the country that had helped install Taleban and was on the brink of collapse after the 11 September, got the lion’s share of economic and political assistance offered by the United States and international agencies while we, despite of our substantial backing of the Northern Alliance, were ostracised.

The question therefore is: Why we must always take the poison? ENDS. SHO’LEH SA’DI 1502