IRAN SHOULD BE WORRIED FROM BRITISH DOSSIER ON IRAQ’S WMD

LONDON, 25 Sept. (IPS) Iranian analysts say the long-awaited report Britain published Tuesday asserting that Iraqi dictator Saddam Hoseyn continued to expand stockpiles of chemical and biological weapons; some of them could be deployed within 45 minutes, should ring alarm bells in Tehran.

The 50-page document also supplied evidence that Mr. Hoseyn had sought significant quantities of uranium from Africa to build nuclear warfare and had extended the range of its ballistic missiles as part of a plan to menace and dominate the Middle East region.

The report said the Iraqi strongman had retained up to 20 "al-Hoseyn" missiles with a range of 400 miles, capable of carrying chemical or biological weapons to the whole of the Middle East.

In Brussels, Mr. Xavier Solana, European Community’s Minister for Security and Foreign Affaires confirmed Thursday the British findings.

In a foreword to the 50-page dossier, British Prime Minister Tony Blair said he believed that the compilation of information from Britain's intelligence and security agencies had proved that Mr. Hoseyn threatened the stability of the world and had to be blocked now.

"What I believe the assessed intelligence has established beyond doubt is that Saddam has continued to produce chemical and biological weapons, that he continues in his efforts to develop nuclear weapons and that he has been able to extend the range of his ballistic missile program", he said. "I also believe that, as stated in the document, Saddam will now do his utmost to try to conceal his weapons from U.N. inspectors".

"Iran, as a country that suffered more than any other nation in the region from Saddam’s atrocities, must be worried by the (British) report, for, a man as unpredictable as the Iraqi ruler is capable of the most unthinkable action once about to be dumped", said Mr. Jamshid Barzegar, a Vienna-based Iranian political analyst.

In Baghdad, an Iraqi government minister denied all the charges. "Mr. Blair is acting as part of the Zionist campaign against Iraq and all his claims are baseless", Culture Minister Hamed Yousef Hummadi said at a news conference on Tuesday.

An adviser to Mr. Hussein, Lt. Gen. Amir al-Sa’di, called the Blair report "a hodgepodge of half-truths, lies, shortsighted and naive allegations" that would not hold up after an investigation by "competent and independent" experts.

He also assured at the news conference that United Nations inspectors would be given "unfettered access" and could go "wherever they want to go".

Reaction from the White House to the report was highly supportive. The White House spokesman, Ari Fleischer, called Mr. Blair's speech "very bold", adding that the dossier was "frightening in terms of Iraq's intentions and abilities to acquire weapons".

"It is clear that, despite sanctions, the policy of containment has not worked sufficiently well to prevent Saddam from developing these weapons. I am in no doubt that the threat is serious and current, that he has made progress on weapons of mass destruction and that he has to be stopped", Mr. Blair told the Commons.

"I believe that faced with the information available to me, the U.K. government has been right to support the demands that this issue be confronted and dealt with", he said, defending his full support for United States plans to attack Iraq.

According to Mr. Barzegar, Iran, because of its staunch opposition to any American "unilateral" military action to remove Mr. Hoseyn from power and would "very probably" remain neutral in case Washington attacks Iraq, might not be targeted by Iraqi missiles.

"But even this is not a guarantee, since thousands of Iraqi Shi’ites living in southern parts of Iran adjacent to the Iraqi borders are combat ready and one of Iraqi strongest opposition movement, the Supreme Assembly of the Islamic Revolution of Iraq (SAIRI) has Tehran as its head quarters", he noted.

Iraq invaded Iran on September 1980 and fought a destructive war for eight years, leaving a million of dead on both sides and damages estimated by the Iranians at more than 1000 millions US Dollars.

However, the American President George W. Bush has declared both neighbours as "evil states", alongside Communist North Korea.

As for longer-range missiles, the report said Iraq is developing both its "al-Samoud" liquid-propellant and its Ababil-100 solid-propellant missiles and extending their ranges to 125 miles, beyond the 93 miles limit set by the United Nations.

The dossier estimated that Mr. Hoseyn would need five years to develop a nuclear weapon on his own but could speed the process to within two years if he acquired weapons grade material.

It also asserted that Iraq had rebuilt chemical plants destroyed in the 1991 Persian Gulf war and had developed mobile laboratories for making biological weapons that could be used in warfare to escape detection and attack invading troops.

The dossier also included claims that prisoners in Iraq are executed without trial or left in metal boxes to die if they do not confess, women held in prison are routinely raped by guards and people accused of slandering Mr. Hussein have their tongues removed. Graphic pictures of Kurdish children killed by Iraqi chemical weapons in 1988 are also in display.

"Read it all and again I defy anyone to say that this cruel and sadistic dictator should be allowed any possibility of getting his hands on more chemical, biological or even nuclear weapons", Mr. Blair declared.

The dossier said that Mr. Hoseyn was able in 2001 to make $3 billion in "illicit earnings" despite United Nations sanctions and that he was on track to raise the same amount this year. The money, meant to go to relief causes, was instead devoted to development of weapons of mass destruction, according to the report.

Iranian analysts say what the Iranian clerical rulers wonder more is about Washington’s post-Saddam plans, as they are certain that their theocratic regime is the next domino after Baghdad’s fall.

In an interview with the Financial Times, Ms. Condolizza Rice, President Bush’s top adviser on national security said the United States wants to establish a democratic and pluralistic regime in Iraq, confirming the view of some US strategists who suggests Iraq should become another Germany or Japan, the "epicenter" for spreading democracy, respect of human rights and free market economy to the entire region. ENDS BLAIR IRAQ REPORT 25902