WORLD PRESS EXPECTS LOW TURN OUT AT IRANIAN ELECTIONS

By Safa Haeri

PARIS 19 Feb. (IPS) On the eve of the elections for the seventh Majles under the rule of Islamic Republic, newspapers around the world are unanimous predicting a low turn out by the voters, deceived by the reformists of Hojjatoleslam Mohammad Khatami and almost hating the conservatives of Ayatollah Ali Khameneh’i, the leader of the Mollahrchy.

"Khatami is like a chess player who has but a few un-important pieces on his hands and is going to loose them on Friday", said the "Tages Zeitung" of Berlin, adding the conservatives would certainly win the race, not because of having gained in popularity, but because the majority of the population that want changes have lost all the hopes they had placed on the reformists and have no desire in going to the polls for an election that had turned into a farcical selection".AFP Photo

"Die Presse" of Vienna says that the calls by Khatami and Khameneh’i urging mass participation "would not be heard by voters who, deceived by the unpopular conservatives and the powerless reformists, have realized the futility of the voting".

In Paris, the influential evening daily "Le Monde" which give the elections a full page, observed that for the first time in the history, the Guide of the Islamic Republic has not been heard and adds that "the sole question every one ask is how many people would show up on the polling stations on Friday?"

"On the eve of the balloting, odds are that Tehran would beat all the records of abstention, the sprawling Iranian Capital being the first victim of the chieftains war that pitted the conservative and the reformist wings of the leadership against each other for weeks", the paper wrote.

According to Ms Mouna Naim of "Le Monde", a low turn out would be seen as a "disgrace" of a regime that the population has understood its impasse, "thus sending both factions back to back".

"With most reformist candidates barred from standing and public indifference widespread, the only element of suspense was how many of Iran's 46.3 million eligible voters would turn out", the French news agency AFP said in a dispatch from Tehran.

Veteran Iranian journalist Amir Taheri says the Iranian election experience puts an end to several illusions.

"The first of these is that the mere holding of elections is a sign of democratisation. Now, however, we know that although there can be no democracy without elections, it is possible to have elections without democracy", he wrote in the Saudi Arabia’s English language daily "Arab News".

"The Iranian electoral recipe is simple and efficient. It starts by making sure that all the candidates are handpicked for their total loyalty to the leader. Next it makes sure that there is no real election campaign. The candidates are not allowed to criticize the leadership. Nor can they offer programs that differ with the essential options of the leadership", he observed, adding, "The purpose of elections in such a system is not to challenge the government of the day and to offer alternative policy choices. It is to pay allegiance to the rulers".

To confirm this view, Iran's judiciary on Wednesday night shut down two reformist dailies that had published long extracts from an open letter by more than a hundred lawmakers criticising the leader, although the newspapers Sharq and Yas e No omitted most critical parts of the letter which the Supreme Council onNational Security had ordered the press not publishing it.

"They closed the daily not simply because of the letter, but also because of the worry that the two papers would disclose the real turnout of the election on Friday", the Financial Times quoted Mr. Akbar Montajebi, Yas-e No's political correspondent.

Mr. Issa Saharkhiz, a reformist journalist and former deputy culture minister, told the British news agency Reuters he expected hard-liners to ban more newspapers and possibly outlaw the Participation Front, led by the president's brother, Mohammad Reza Khatami, and another reformist group, the Mujahideen of the Islamic Revolution Party.

At the same time, Tehran’s and Islamic Revolution tribunal’s General Prosecutor, Sa’id Mortazavi ordered all Internet Service Providers to filter "as soon as possible" three websites, including Rouydad, which belongs to the Islamic Iran Participation Front of Dr. Mohammad Reza Khatami, the younger brother of the lamed President barred from running in the elections, Emrooz, a second reformist site, and Peyknet, which has a reputation for insider scoops, will be unavailable to users in Iran.

The blocking of the sites appears to reflect concern over coverage of the election, and especially the sensitive issue of voter turnout.

"General disillusionment seems likely to produce a low poll. IIPF and Islamic Revolution Mojahedeen Organisation, one of the best organized groups supporting Mr. Khatami as well as the main students and women groups are boycotting the election.

Earlier this week, Dr. Khatami alleged in the Financial Times that conservatives planned to increase turnout by forging ID cards - an allegation subsequently reported by some of the domestic media. ENDS IRAN ELECTIONS 19204